Hoshino, Takahiro



Faculty of Economics (Mita)



Related Websites

Academic Degrees 【 Display / hide

  • 博士(経済学), 名古屋大学

  • 博士(学術), 東京大学


Research Areas 【 Display / hide

  • Statistical science

  • Economic statistics

  • Commerce


Books 【 Display / hide

Papers 【 Display / hide

  • Semiparametric Bayesian Estimation for Marginal Parametric Potential Outcome Modeling: Application to Causal Inference

    Takahiro Hoshino

    Journal of the American Statistical Association (Journal of the American Statistical Association)  108 ( 504 ) 1189 - 1204 2013.12

    Research paper (scientific journal), Single Work, Accepted,  ISSN  01621459

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    We propose a new semiparametric Bayesian model for causal inference in which assignment to treatment depends on potential outcomes. The model uses the probit stick-breaking process mixture proposed by Chung and Dunson (2009), a variant of the Dirichlet process mixture modeling. In contrast to previous Bayesian models, the proposed model directly estimates the parameters of the marginal parametric model of potential outcomes, while it relaxes the strong ignorability assumption, and requires no parametric model assumption for the assignment model and conditional distribution of the covariate vector. The proposed estimation method is more robust than maximum likelihood estimation, in that it does not require knowledge of the full joint distribution of potential outcomes, covariates, and assignments. In addition, the method is more efficient than fully nonparametric Bayes methods. We apply this model to infer the differential effects of cognitive and noncognitive skills on the wages of production and nonproduction workers using panel data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth in 1979. The study also presents the causal effect of online word-of-mouth onWeb site browsing behavior. Supplementary materials for this article are available online. © 2013 American Statistical Association.

  • マーケティングと行動経済学:二重過程理論と文脈効果に関するレビューと購買履歴データからの実証分析

    星野 崇宏・竹内 真登

    行動経済学 12 ( 1 ) 51 - 61 2019.03

    Single Work, Accepted

  • 小学1年生から中学3年生を対象とした学力テストの垂直尺度化


    心理学研究 印刷中 2019

    Single Work, Accepted

  • Semiparametric Bayesian Multiple Imputation for Regression Models with Missing Mixed Continuous-Discrete Covariates

    Ryo Kato and Takahiro Hoshino

    Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics)  in press 2019

    Research paper (scientific journal), Single Work, Accepted,  ISSN  00203157

     View Summary

    © 2019, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo. Issues regarding missing data are critical in observational and experimental research. Recently, for datasets with mixed continuous–discrete variables, multiple imputation by chained equation (MICE) has been widely used, although MICE may yield severely biased estimates. We propose a new semiparametric Bayes multiple imputation approach that can deal with continuous and discrete variables. This enables us to overcome the shortcomings of MICE; they must satisfy strong conditions (known as compatibility) to guarantee obtained estimators are consistent. Our simulation studies show the coverage probability of 95% interval calculated using MICE can be less than 1%, while the MSE of the proposed can be less than one-fiftieth. We applied our method to the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) dataset, and the results are consistent with those of the previous works that used panel data other than ADNI database, whereas the existing methods, such as MICE, resulted in inconsistent results.

  • Doubly Robust-type Estimation of Population Moments or Parameters in Biased Sampling

    Takahiro Hoshino and Yuya Shimizu

    Stat in press 2019

    Research paper (scientific journal), Single Work, Accepted

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Papers, etc., Registered in KOARA 【 Display / hide

Reviews, Commentaries, etc. 【 Display / hide

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Presentations 【 Display / hide

  • ポイントプログラムの長期効果:目標勾配仮説は成立するのか

    星野 崇宏

    第6回行動経済学会大会, 2012.12, Oral Presentation(general)

  • Causal Inference for Multilevel Modeling Under Nonrandom Allocation to Level-2 Units: Moderated causal effect as a function of macro-level variables

    HOSHINO Takahiro

    IMPS2012, The 77nd Annual and the 18th International Meetings of the Psychometric Society, 2012.07, Oral Presentation(general)

  • Causal Inference Framework for Latent Variable Modeling

    HOSHINO Takahiro

    IMPS2011,The 76th Annual and the 17th International Meetings of the Psychometric Society, 2012.07, Oral Presentation(guest/special)

  • プロスペクト理論を考慮した同時購買行動での価格プロモーション戦略

    星野 崇宏

    第90回日本マーケティング・サイエンス学会研究大会, 2011.12, Oral Presentation(general)

  • 欠測データと因果効果の推定

    星野 崇宏

    ICPSR国内利用協議会統計セミナー, 2010.09, Public discourse, seminar, tutorial, course, lecture and others

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Research Projects of Competitive Funds, etc. 【 Display / hide

  • 異質性を考慮した因果効果の推定法の開発とその応用


    MEXT,JSPS, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 星野 崇宏, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Principal Investigator

  • Research of discrepancy between behavior logs and survey responses and intervention for reduction of discrepancies


    MEXT,JSPS, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 星野 崇宏, Grant-in-Aid for Challenging Research (Exploratory) , Principal Investigator

  • General studies and applications for Treatment effect estimation under non-experimental studies


    MEXT,JSPS, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research, 星野 崇宏, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Principal Investigator

Awards 【 Display / hide

  • JPSP Prize

    2017.02, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 日本学術振興会賞

    Type of Award: International Academic Awards

  • 義塾賞

    2018.11, 慶應義塾大学

    Type of Award: Keio commendation etc.

  • The Japan Statistical Society Achievement Award

    2017.09, The Japan Statistical Society, The Japan Statistical Society Achievement Award

    Type of Award: Awards of National Conference, Council and Symposium

  • 慶應義塾大学 印東太郎賞

    2012.09, 慶應義塾大学, 慶應義塾大学 印東太郎賞

    Type of Award: Other Awards

  • 日本行動計量学会 出版賞 調査観察データの統計科学

    2011.09, 日本行動計量学会, 日本行動計量学会 出版賞 調査観察データの統計科学

    Type of Award: Awards of National Conference, Council and Symposium.  Country: 日本

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Courses Taught 【 Display / hide











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