著書 - 木村　福成

Potential Green Hydrogen from Curtailed Electricity in ASEAN: The Scenarios and Policy Implications

Phoumin H., Kimura F., Arima J., Economics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific, 2021年

　概要を見る

The power generation mix of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is dominated by fossil fuels, which accounted for almost 80% in 2017 and are expected to account for 82% in 2050 if the region does not transition to cleaner energy systems. Solar and wind power is the most abundant energy resource but contributes negligibly to the power mix. Scalable electricity production from wind and solar energy faces tremendous challenges due to system integration practices in ASEAN. Investors in solar or wind farms face high risks from electricity curtailment if surplus electricity is not used. Technologies for battery storage (lithium-ion batteries) have been developed to handle surplus electricity production from wind and solar energy but they remain costly. Hydrogen produced from electrolysis using surplus electricity, however, has numerous advantages that complement battery storage, as hydrogen can be stored as liquid gas, which is suitable for many uses and easy to transport. Employing the policy scenario analysis of the energy outlook modelling results, this paper examines the potential scalability of renewable hydrogen production from curtailed electricity in scenarios of high share of variable renewable energy in the power generation mix. The study intensively reviewed potential cost reduction of hydrogen production around the world and its implications for changing the energy landscape. The study found many social and environmental benefits as hydrogen can help increase the share of renewables in decarbonising emissions in ASEAN.

ASEAN Energy Landscape and Emissions: The Modelling Scenarios and Policy Implications

Phoumin H., Kimura F., Arima J., Economics, Law, and Institutions in Asia Pacific, 2021年

　概要を見る

The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) faces tremendous challenges regarding the future energy landscape and how the energy transition will embrace a new architecture—including sound policies and technologies to ensure energy access together with affordability, energy security, and energy sustainability. Given the high share of fossil fuels in ASEAN’s current energy mix (oil, coal, and natural gas comprise almost 80%), the clean use of fossil fuels through the deployment of clean technologies is indispensable for decarbonising ASEAN’s emissions. The future energy landscape of ASEAN will rely on today’s actions, policies, and investments to change the fossil fuel-based energy system towards a cleaner energy system, but any decisions and energy policy measures to be rolled out during the energy transition need to be weighed against potentially higher energy costs, affordability issues, and energy security risks. This paper employs energy modelling scenarios to seek plausible policy options for ASEAN to achieve more emissions reductions as well as energy savings, and to assess the extent to which the composition of the energy mix will be changed under various energy policy scenarios. The results imply policy recommendations for accelerating the share of renewables, adopting clean technologies and the clean use of fossil fuels, and investing in climate-resilient energy quality infrastructure.

Developing the digital economy in ASEAN

Chen L., Kimura F., Developing the Digital Economy in ASEAN, 2019年05月

　概要を見る

This book advances the international debate on the development of e-commerce with focus on emerging ASEAN economies. It provides readers insights on Asia's needs and efforts to improve the regional legal and economic conditions to support e-commerce. This book looks at the rules and regulations on e-commerce, and e-commerce for inclusiveness growth. It provides insights from several ASEAN member states and discovers the requirements for Asian countries to better grasp the new juncture of growth associated with economic digitalization, which also have deep implications on continuous regional integration and community-building.

Unlocking the potentials of private financing for accelerated low-carbon energy transition: An overview

Anbumozhi V., Kimura F., Kalirajan K., Financing for Low-carbon Energy Transition: Unlocking the Potential of Private Capital, 2018年06月

　概要を見る

Emerging economies of Asia will need to see some US$200 billion in annual capital expenditure on low-carbon energy supply and in energy efficiency to meet the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) targets under the Paris agreement framework. The scale of this investment required to decouple carbon emissions from economic growth, will inevitably have to rely largely on mobilizing private capital. This chapter provides an overview of available channels to mobilize private investment in low-carbon transition. It argues that the private capital that can be mobilized to support low-carbon transition, is very much depend on the risk return profile of the investment and the regulatory environment in which these investors operate. If the governments wish to mobilize capital from the markets, they need to simultaneously understand not only the barriers to the investment but also effective channels through which such capital can flow. This chapter also presents an analytical framework that can characterize the risks to private investments and highlights the role of transaction enablers that governments can use to mobilize institutionally held capital in support of low-carbon energy transition.

Financing for low-carbon energy transition: Unlocking the potential of private capital

Anbumozhi V., Kimura F., Kalirajan K., Financing for Low-carbon Energy Transition: Unlocking the Potential of Private Capital, 2018年06月

　概要を見る

This book is the first comprehensive assessment of the state of low-carbon investments in Asia, analyzing the rationales, mandates and public-private financing activities. Based on the experiences of several regional initiatives wherein public financing is catalyzing private investments in low-carbon infrastructure, this book proposes a framework that can be used as a tool to identify factors that influence private investment decisions and policy instruments that can scale up the private capital. Placing the Asian economies onto a low-carbon development pathway requires an unprecedented shift in investments. This book addresses this situation by asking questions such as: • What is the central role of private finance in achieving the Paris Agreement targets? • What key policy levers and risk mitigation can governments use in an effort to unlock the potentials of private capital? • How can regionally coordinated actions hold significant promise for scaling up private investments?

Infrastructure and development in Asia: The quality of infrastructure and project implementation

Kimura F., China and Japan in the Global Economy, 2018年01月

　概要を見る

Infrastructure development is essential to economic development in less developed countries (LDCs). In particular, ASEAN Member States (AMS) and developing East Asian countries have applied development strategies that aggressively utilise global value chains (GVCs), and the logistics infrastructure and industry-supporting infrastructure services have been crucial in this endeavour. In addition to the long-lasting effort of official development assistance (ODA) and other official funds (OOF) provided by the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development-Development Assistance Committee (OECD-DAC) countries and international organisations, the recent deeper commitments of China and other newly developed economies to infrastructure development will further stimulate infrastructure development in the region.

New Frontiers in Asia-Latin America Integration: Trade Facilitation, Production Networks, and FTAs

Antoni Estevadeordal, Masahiro Kawai, and Geneshan Wignaraja, Sage, 2015年

担当範囲: Internationalization of SMEs in Regional and Global Value Chains (p.140-169 with Hank Lim)

Strengthening Social Protection in East Asia, Oxon and New York

Fukunari Kimura (edited with Mukul G. Asher), Routledge, 2015年

ASEAN and Regional Free Trade Agreements

Christopher Findlay, Routledge, 2015年

担当範囲: Pursuing a Consolidated Tariff Structure in the RCEP: Sensitivity and Inconsistency in ASEAN’s Trade Protection (p.149-170 with Arata Kuno and Yoshifumi Fukunaga)

　概要を見る

<p>This book focuses on relatively unexplored areas in pension and health care arrangements, including financing, in East Asia. The book aims to fill the literature gap on social protection in East Asia by covering issues such as pension and health care arrangements in the depopulating high income countries of Japan and Korea; the challenges of the pay-out phase in Defined Contribution (DC) arrangements in Australia, New Zealand, and Singapore; and the extension of coverage of social protection schemes in China, India, and Indonesia. It also reviews social protection from a much wider perspective and extends coverage of social protection in terms of both the proportion of the population with access to the social protection scheme and the types of risks faced by the households and by society as a whole. The book also gives attention to reforms of civil service pensions.</p>

日本再生改革の論点

日本経済新聞社, 日本経済新聞出版社, 2014年

担当範囲: TPP交渉の焦点（上）—農業関税、補助金に転換を（218～223ページ）

　概要を見る

<p>Japan was the first non-Western country to accomplish successful industrialization, and the dominant perception of its 'industrial policy' had over-emphasized specific characteristics of Japan. However, from the perspective of today's development thinking, Japan's economic history shared a wide range of common factors in usual economic development: macroeconomic stability, human resource development, and economic infrastructure. Industrial policy in Japan sometimes worked well and sometimes did not, depending on how effectively it counteracted market failure and took advantage of market dynamism. We must note, however, that the external conditions faced by Japan were widely different from what today's developing countries face.</p>

通商戦略の論点：世界貿易の潮流を読む

木村 福成（馬田啓一氏との共編著）, 文眞堂, 2014年

Energy Market Integration in East Asia: Deepening Understanding and Moving Forward, Oxon and New York

Fukunari Kimura (edited with Yanrui Wu and Xunpeng Shi), Routledge, 2014年

Development Success: Historical Accounts from More Advanced Countries

Augustin K. Fosu, Oxford University Press, 2013年

担当範囲: Japan’s Model of Economic Development: Relevant and Non-relevant Elements for Developing Economies (p.149-170)

Global Value Chains in a Changing World

Deborah K. Elms and Patrick Low, The World Trade Organisation, 2013年

担当範囲: How Have Production Networks Changed Development Strategies in East Asia? (p.361-383)

TPPと日本の決断：「決められない政治」からの脱却

木村福成（石川幸一氏、馬田啓一氏、渡邊頼純氏との共編著）, 文眞堂, 2013年

Beyond 2015: ASEAN-Japan Strategic Partnership for Democracy, Peace, and Prosperity in Southeast Asia

Rizal Sukma and Yoshihide Soeya, Japan Center for International Exchange, 2013年

担当範囲: ASEAN-Japan Strategic Partnership in Southeast Asia: Economic Pillar (p.27-44)

Enhancing ASEAN’s Connectivity

Sanchita Basu Das, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2013年

担当範囲: The Development of Logistics Infrastructure in ASEAN: The Comprehensive Asia Development Plan and the Post-AEC Initiative (p.37-58)

日本経済の復活と成長へのロードマップ：２１世紀日本の通商戦略

浦田秀次郎、２１世紀政策研究所, 文眞堂, 2012年12月

担当範囲: 日本の対東アジア通商戦略（53～70ページ）

シリーズ・日韓新時代２　日韓新時代と経済協力

小此木政夫、河英善, 慶應義塾大学出版会, 2012年06月

担当範囲: 新たな国際通商政策秩序の構築と日本・韓国の役割（81～102ページ）

東アジア・アジア太平洋地域における経済連携の可能性：貿易・投資分野を中心に

木村 福成, 公益財団法人日本国際フォーラム, 2012年03月