Works - NOMURA Koji

Multilateral Energy Cost Monitoring (ECM_202406)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Keio Economic Observatory, Keio University, 

2024.07

, 

Database science, Joint

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The PLI (price level index) is estimated through March 2024, RUEC (real unit energy cost) through Q1 2024 (forecast is through Q4 2024), and the EITE (energy-intensive trade-exposed) output index through May 2024. PLI/RUEC covers seven countries (Japan, China, South Korea, the U.S., the UK, Germany, and France) and EITE covers four countries (Japan, China, the U.S., and Germany).

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (ECM_JPN_202406b)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.07

, 

Database science, Joint

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ECM_JPN_202406b started the mid-month update of the EITE manufacturing production index (earlier publication of the EITE index) (this time updated to the May estimate) and also started the publication of EITE sectoral production.

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (ECM_JPN_202406a)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.07

, 

Database science, Joint

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ECM_JPN_202406a revises its quarterly benchmark estimates of nominal and real GDP in line with the release (July 1, 2024) of the JSNA 2nd Preliminary Report (revised figures) due to the retroactive revision of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism's "General Construction Statistics".

Monthly GDP Growth (JMGDP_202406a)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.07

, 

Database science, Joint

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JMGDP_202406aでは、国土交通省「建設総合統計」の遡及改定によるJSNA2次速報(改定値)の公表（2024年7月1日）に伴い、その名目・実質GDPの四半期ベンチマーク推計値の改訂を行っている。測定期間は2024年5月まで。

Quarterly GDP Growth (JQGDP_2024Q1a)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.07

, 

Database science, Joint

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JQGDP_2024Q1a（2次予測）では、国土交通省「建設総合統計」（2024年6月25日公表）の遡及改定に伴い、JSNA2次速報(改定値)（2024年7月1日公表）と同様な名目・実質GDPの改訂を行っている。

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (ECM_JPN_202406)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.06

, 

Database science, Joint

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測定期間は2024年5月まで。米国のEITE（エネルギー多消費）製造業の生産推移に関する速報推計値の公表を開始。

Monthly GDP Growth (JMGDP_202406)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.06

, 

Database science, Joint

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Update the estimates until May 2024.

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (ECM_JPN_202405a)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.06

, 

Database science, Joint

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測定期間は2024年4月まで。ECM_JPN_202405aでは、日独のEITE（エネルギー多消費）製造業の生産推移に関する速報推計値の公表を開始した。

Multilateral Energy Cost Monitoring (ECM_202405)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Keio Economic Observatory, Keio University, 

2024.06

, 

Database science, Joint

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The PLI (price level index) is estimated through February 2024, RUEC (real unit energy cost) through Q4 2023 (forecast is through Q4 2024), and the EITE (energy-intensive trade-exposed) output index through March 2024. PLI/RUEC covers eight countries (Japan, China, South Korea, the U.S., the UK, Germany, France, and Italy) and EITE covers Germany only.

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (Monthly RUEC) (Until April 2024)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.06

, 

Database science, Joint

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測定期間は2024年4月まで。

Quarterly GDP Growth (JQGDP_2024Q1) Second Estimate

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.05

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Database science, Joint

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JQGDP_2024Q1 is the first estimate (released 4/30) and the second estimate (released 5/31) of the Q1 2024 GDP estimate.

Monthly GDP Growth (JMGDP_202405) (until April 2024)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.05

, 

Database science, Joint

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (Monthly RUEC) (Until March 2024)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.05

, 

Database science, Joint

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容量拠出金の電力価格へ上乗せを開始。2024年の再エネ賦課金の上昇分を反映。測定期間は2024年3月まで。

Multilateral Energy Cost Monitoring (ECM_202404)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Keio Economic Observatory, Keio University, 

2024.05

, 

Database science, Joint

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The PLI (price level index) is estimated through January 2024, RUEC (real unit energy cost) through Q4 2023 (forecast is through Q4 2024), and the EITE (energy-intensive trade-exposed) output index through February 2024. PLI/RUEC covers eight countries (Japan, China, South Korea, the U.S., the UK, Germany, France, and Italy) and EITE covers Germany only.

Monthly GDP Growth (JMGDP_202404) (until March 2024)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.04

, 

Database science, Joint

Quarterly GDP Growth (JQGDP_2024Q1) First Estimate

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.04

, 

Database science, Joint

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JQGDP_2024Q1 is the first estimate (released 4/30) and the second estimate (released 5/31) of the Q1 2024 GDP estimate.

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (Monthly RUEC) (Until February 2024)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.03

, 

Database science, Joint

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2022年の ECM 最終エネ消費額とJSNAコモとの整合性を保持するよう改訂。石油補助金仮定を2023年5–9月は2023年平均の半分の補助率、10月以降はゼロを仮定。測定期間は2024年2月まで。

Monthly GDP Growth (JMGDP_202403) (until February 2024)

Koji Nomura and Sho Inaba

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.03

, 

Database science, Joint

Multilateral Energy Cost Monitoring (ECM_202403)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Keio Economic Observatory, Keio University, 

2024.03

, 

Database science, Joint

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The PLI (price level index) is estimated through December 2023, RUEC (real unit energy cost) through Q4 2023 (forecast is through Q4 2024), and the EITE (energy-intensive trade-exposed) output index through January 2024. PLI/RUEC covers eight countries (Japan, China, South Korea, the U.S., the UK, Germany, France, and Italy) and EITE covers Germany only.

Energy Cost Monitoring for Japan (Monthly RUEC) (Until January 2024)

Koji Nomura, Sho Inaba, and Mansaku Yoshida

Nomura Lab at Keio Economic Observatory, 

2024.03

, 

Database science, Joint

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エネ最終消費主体を2分類から11分類へ細分化。国内総供給に加え国内総需要からの推計法を新規に加え両者から精度改善。電力の自家消費推計の改訂。