辻村 和佑 (ツジムラ カズスケ)

Tsujimura, Kazusuke

写真a

所属(所属キャンパス)

経済学部 (三田)

職名

名誉教授

HP

経歴 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 1979年04月
    -
    1985年03月

    大学助手(経済学部)

  • 1985年04月
    -
    1997年03月

    大学助教授(経済学部)

  • 1995年10月
    -
    1997年09月

    大学学生総合センター学生部門副部長(三田支部)

  • 1997年04月
    -
    継続中

    大学院経済学研究科委員

  • 1997年04月
    -
    継続中

    大学教授(経済学部)

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学歴 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 1976年03月

    慶應義塾大学, 商学部

    大学, 卒業

  • 1978年03月

    慶應義塾大学, 経済学研究科

    大学院, 修了, 修士

  • 1981年03月

    慶應義塾大学, 経済学研究科

    大学院, 単位取得退学, 博士

学位 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 博士(商学), 慶應義塾大学, 論文

  • 修士(経済学), 慶應義塾大学, 課程

  • Ph.D. in Business and Commerce, 慶應義塾大学, 論文

  • M.A. in Economics, 慶應義塾大学, 課程

 

研究分野 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 人文・社会 / 経済統計 (経済統計・計量経済学・国民経済計算・資金循環分析)

 

著書 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 日本経済のマクロ計量分析

    辻村 和佑、辻村 雅子, 日本経済新聞出版社, 2011年05月

    担当範囲: 151-177

  • 産業連関分析ハンドブック

    辻村 和佑、辻村 雅子, 東洋経済新報社, 2010年12月

    担当範囲: 320-329

  • Macroeconometric Modeling of Japan

    TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE and TSUJIMURA MASAKO, World Scientific, 2010年07月

    担当範囲: 173-193

  • 応用計量経済学ハンドブック

    辻村 和佑, 朝倉書店, 2010年05月

    担当範囲: 601-637

  • 国際資金循環分析―基礎技法と応用事例

    辻村 和佑・辻村 雅子, 慶應義塾大学出版会, 2008年07月

    担当範囲: 382

     概要を見る

    1997年から98年にかけてアジア各国やロシアなどを襲った通貨危機の影響で、グローバル化された経済における国際的な資金移動を把握する統計の必要性への認識が一挙に高まった。その結果BIS(Bank for International Settlements)による国際与信統計(Consolidated Banking Statistics: CBS)と、IMF(International Monetary Fund)による国際証券投資調査(Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey: CPIS)が作成されるに至った。本書ではこれらの統計から得られる情報を活用して、国際資金循環を包括的に解明するための手法の開発に主眼をおいている。各章は独立した論文から成り、国際資金循環構造を多面的に分析した研究書である。

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論文 【 表示 / 非表示

  • A Flow of Funds Analysis of the US Quantitative Easing

    TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE & TSUJIMURA MASAKO

    Economic Systems Research (Taylor and Francis)  30 ( 2 ) 137 - 177 2018年04月

    研究論文(学術雑誌), 共著, 査読有り

     概要を見る

    After the Bank of Japan first introduced a quantitative easing policy in 2001, Tsujimura and Mizoshita [(2003) Asset-Liability-Matrix Analysis Derived From Flow-of-Funds Accounts: the Bank of Japan’s Quantitative Monetary Policy Examined. Economic Systems Research, 15, 51–67] applied input–output analysis to analyze its effects. Some central bankers criticized the analysis as misleading because it was based on the asset-liability matrix derived from the financial balance sheets. In this vein, the real policy effects on production and employment were overlooked. Herein, we answer such criticism by introducing a new method of tracking the flow of funds. It covers both real and financial transactions to show the mechanism and the effects of the US quantitative easing.

  • The value added and operating surplus deflators for industries: The right price indicators that should be used to calculate the real interest rates

    SAKUMA ITSUO, TSUJIMURA MASAKO & TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE

    Statistical Journal of the IAOS (IOS Press)  34 ( 2 ) 235 - 253 2018年05月

    研究論文(学術雑誌), 共著, 査読有り

     概要を見る

    After the global financial crisis of 2008–2009, many advanced economies are suffering from a dearth of domestic investment opportunities. It has been said that lowering real interest rate is the best policy to boost the capital investment. The problem is what inflation rate they have in their mind when the entrepreneurs make investment decisions. Not only the output prices, but also the composition of inputs differ from one industry to another. Therefore, the value added deflator or even the operating surplus deflator for each industry are better alternative to calculate the real interest rate. In the first half of the paper, we examine the theoretical meaning of the value added deflators using a highly simplified symmetric input output table. In the latter half, we will use so-called SNA-IO, the input-output table published as a part of Japanese SNA, to experimentally estimate both value added and operating surplus deflators. The study reveals that if lowering interest rate depreciate the local currency, it will depress value added deflators, and in turn, will discourage capital investments. In this sense, lowering interest rate is a double-edged sword; the governments and central banks should think twice before taking such a policy.

  • Balance Sheet Economics of the Subprime Mortgage Crisis

    TSUJIMURA MASAKO and TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE

    Economic Systems Research (Routledge)  23 ( 1 ) 1-25 2011年03月

    研究論文(学術雑誌), 共著, 査読有り,  ISSN  0953-5314

  • Dearth of Domestic Investment and the Global Saving Glut: An International Panel Data Study

    辻村 和佑

    The Journal of Econometric Study of Northeast Asia (Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia)  7 ( 1 ) 1-21 2010年03月

    研究論文(学術雑誌), 共著, 査読有り,  ISSN  1880-6988

  • The consequences of the introduction of the euro: a nested mixed- effects analysis of the international banking positions

    辻村 和佑・辻村 雅子

    Empirical Economics (Springer)  37 ( 3 ) 583-397 2009年12月

    研究論文(学術雑誌), 共著, 査読有り,  ISSN  0377-7332

     概要を見る

    In this paper, we will examine the effects of the launch of the euro from the perspective of the international banking positions by a combination of the gravity model, widely used to explain the structure of world trade, and the mixed effects model, which is a hybrid version of the fixed and random effects models of panel
    data analysis. The specification could be examined by the likelihood ratio tests by decomposing the model into fixed and random effects elements. The empirical study indicates that the new currency is certain to benefit the euro area, but the effects on the non-euro members of the EU are not as clear as superficial analysis suggests.

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研究発表 【 表示 / 非表示

  • Negative Interest Rate and the Public Deficit: Classical Loanable Funds Theory Revisited

    TSUJIMURA MASAKOTSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE

    International Conference on Economic Theory and Policy (Tokyo, Japan) , 

    2017年09月

    口頭発表(招待・特別)

     概要を見る

    As Keynes contended in the General Theory, according to the classical theory of loanable funds, the equilibrium interest rate is determined at the intersection of the saving and investment curves. The former is derived from the intertemporal choice of consumption while the latter represents the marginal product of capital. Some classical authors, such as Taussig, discuss negative interests in this framework. Since the market interest rate rarely became negative until recently, if the equilibrium interest rate had been negative, the government would have had to fill the saving-investment gap by running a public deficit. Negative interest rates would surely cure this problem. Cassel, however, mentions another possibility: that the saving curve has a downward rather than upward slope. It is problematic because there is a possibility that the saving and investment curves do not at all intersect. If they do not intersect, lowering interest rates may enlarge the public deficit rather than reduce it. Thus, it is essential to identify the shape of the two curves before taking any policy action, either to raise or to lower the interest rate.

  • Financial Intermediation in Brazilian Economy from Flow of Funds Analysis

    Erika BURKOWSKI ERIKAKIM JIYOUNGTSUJIMURA KAZUSUKETSUJIMURA MASAKO

    25th International Input-Output Conference (Atlantic City, NJ, US) , 

    2017年06月

    口頭発表(一般), International Input Output Association

     概要を見る

    This paper presents the Flow-of-Funds Analysis applied to improve knowledge about financial flows in Brazilian economy. We develop asset-liabilities-matrixes (ALM) to the years 2004 and 2009, which are disaggregated in 10 institutional sectors to obtain a broadly overview of the specific structure of flows in Brazilian financial system. From flow-of-funds indexes we could illustrate the role of each institutional sector in the system, than we could highlight that during the period, there was a movement to increase the participation of others financial firms in financial system, excluding government-sponsored banks, while enterprises and government were working as financial intermediaries in an informal market.

  • Funds Flow Method of National Accounting

    TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKE

    日中両国の経済と金融に関する研究セミナー (Tokyo, Japan) , 

    2016年11月

    公開講演,セミナー,チュートリアル,講習,講義等, 立正大学、中国人民大学

     概要を見る

    The objective of this paper is twofold: (i) to design a flow-of-funds based national accounting system, an equivalent of cash-flow statement in business accounting; and (ii) to make from-whom-to-whom flow-of-funds matrix for Japan 1995-2013. Special features of the study is while so-called Flow of Funds Accounts (also known as financial accounts in Europe) covers only the lender-borrower relationship, Flow-of-Funds based National Accounts proposed in this study includes all the payments, such as sales, wages, interest, etc.

  • The Value Added and Operating Surplus Deflators for Industries: The Right Price Indicators that should be Used to Calculate the Real Interest Rates

    ITSUO SAKUMATSUJIMURA KAZUSUKETSUJIMURA MASAKO

    34th International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (IARIW) General Conference (Dresden, Germany) , 

    2016年08月

    口頭発表(一般), International Association for Research in Income and Wealth

     概要を見る

    After the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, the governments of the world are piling up deficits to close the saving-investment gap in the private sector. The governments cannot accumulate deficits endlessly so that they must urgently promote the investments in the private industries. It is obvious that lowering the market rate of interest is one of the best policies to boost the capital investment. The problem is that what inflation rate they have in their mind when the entrepreneurs make investment decisions. Not only the output prices, but also the composition of inputs and their prices differ from one industry to another. Therefore, the value added deflator or even the operating surplus deflator for each industry are better alternative to calculate the real interest rate.

  • Flow-of-Funds Based National Accounting: An Experimental Application to the US Economy

    TSUJIMURA KAZUSUKETSUJIMURA MASAKO

    34th International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (IARIW) General Conference (Dresden, Germany) , 

    2016年08月

    ポスター発表, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth

     概要を見る

    The objective of this paper is twofold: (i) to design a flow-of-funds based national accounting system, an equivalent of cash-flow statement in business accounting; and (ii) to make from-whom-to-whom flow-of-funds matrix for the U.S. to find out if there were structural changes in the first decade of the century. The matrix is tentatively derived from the Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts by removing the imputations that do not involve payment of funds. We found that there was a conspicuous structural change between 2008 and 2010 when the subprime mortgage crisis hit the economy; and the dominant factor was the shift in monetary policy. Our conclusion is that the economy is highly susceptible to both Federal Reserve’s supply of funds and its portfolio.

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担当授業科目 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 金融論

    2022年度

  • 制度・政策論特論

    2021年度

  • 計量経済学演習

    2021年度

  • 金融論

    2021年度

  • 金融論

    2021年度

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社会活動 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 国民経済計算調査会議

    2004年04月
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    継続中

委員歴 【 表示 / 非表示

  • 2004年04月
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    継続中

    委員, 国民経済計算調査会議